Sometimes a great pitching performance is about spreading excellence over an entire season. Pedro Martinez, for instance, produced arguably the two best pitching seasons of all time, in 1999 and 2000, by consistently overwhelming hitters over the span of months and even years.1Over a two-year span, no starter has ever struck out a higher percentage of batters he faced or walked fewer opponents relative to his strikeouts than Martinez did in those seasons. His dominance could certainly be glimpsed in specific moments as well, but the magnitude of Martinez’s accomplishments is best described with broad numbers (for example, he has the lowest single-season ERA, relative to the league, in major league history).For others, though, pitching greatness manifests itself in far shorter sequences. When Orel Hershiser unanimously won the 1988 National League Cy Young, it was more about his 59 consecutive scoreless innings — which broke fellow Dodger Don Drysdale’s then-20-year-old major league record — than his season-long numbers. Although Hershiser tied Cincinnati’s Danny Jackson for the NL lead in wins, he wasn’t No. 1 in winning percentage or ERA — to say nothing of newer metrics such as fielding independent pitching (FIP), on which he lagged well behind league leaders.2It’s tough to fault Cy Young voters from 1988 for not knowing the finer points of defense-independent pitching statistics and cluster luck. But in retrospect, almost half the wins generated by the Dodgers with Hershiser on the mound could be attributed to aspects of the game relatively beyond the pitcher’s control, such as defense and stranding runners by scattering opposing hits.That year, Hershiser’s historic streak meant more than performance over the season as a whole. And the same thing might be playing out in the NL this season. With eight scoreless innings Sunday against the Nationals, another Dodger, Zack Greinke, has extended his own scoreless streak to 43⅔ innings. Greinke is one of the best pitchers in the game, but just like Hershiser, he’s being oversold by The Streak.Greinke leads the majors in ERA with a microscopic 1.30, but he’s also been the beneficiary of good fortune. Similar to Hershiser, almost half the wins generated by LA’s run-prevention corps with Greinke on the mound can be attributed to factors outside his own pitching skill. Take those wins away, and Greinke has been only the sixth-best pitcher in baseball this season. (He ranks fourth even if we just look at the past 30 days.)During Greinke’s streak, his fielders have converted into outs 82.4 percent of the balls he allowed to be put in play, a far greater rate than the league average of 70.6 percent. And it doesn’t seem to be possible to produce a historic consecutive-innings streak without benefiting from that kind of defense (and luck). Behind Hershiser, 81.4 percent of the balls in play were turned into outs, and for Drysdale, the rate was 81.6 percent.We can debate whether Greinke’s pursuit of the streak is easier or harder than Hershiser’s or Drysdale’s was. Greinke has had to throw more pitches per inning,3During the streak, 30 percent of the batters Greinke has faced either struck out or walked — both of which are typically more laborious from a pitch-count perspective than a standard plate appearance. That proportion was only 21 percent for Hershiser. but he has also spread his innings over a greater number of starts, which has allowed him to benefit from a reduced “times through the order” penalty. The bigger takeaway, however, is that these kinds of streaks — even those of the 59-inning variety — cover only a few starts, too small a sample for us to easily untangle the effects of luck and skill.Streaks are nothing if not one of baseball’s favorite preoccupations, but they also take a fundamentally long-term game and focus it on the short term. Joe DiMaggio won the 1941 AL MVP in large part because he hit safely in 56 straight games, but Ted Williams was easily the better player over the entire season.4In fact, Williams famously had the higher batting average during the span of DiMaggio’s streak! Hershiser won the Cy Young but probably wasn’t the NL’s best pitcher in 1988. And Greinke’s streak, impressive and exciting as it is, shouldn’t obscure the other fantastic pitching seasons we’re seeing across MLB this year.
DRIVES INTO OVERTIMEGAMESRECEIVEKICKSTILL TIED Every so often, Bill Belichick seems to get a little too cute in a high-leverage situation for his own good. At a glance, Sunday’s loss to the Jets, in which the Patriots won the coin toss and elected to kick off to begin overtime, seems to be a major example. But although the execution (and, certainly, the result) were about as undesirable as could be, it wasn’t exactly a major blunder, because the decision to kick or receive in overtime is more minor than it appears.From the jump, the move was snakebit. After receiving his marching orders from Belichick (in quadruplicate!), special teams captain Matthew Slater mistakenly phrased the call so that New England chose to kick — not which goal to defend. Belichick says he was playing for field position, so the wind, which reached 18 mph at times, was pretty clearly a factor. By electing to kick in the first place, Belichick was already going off the reservation: It was only the 13th time in NFL history1The NFL didn’t adopt sudden-death overtime until 1974. that a coach had won the overtime toss but did not choose to receive the ball first, practically inviting second-guessers. But to make the move and then have the NFL’s Byzantine rulebook begin parsing parts of speech at the precise worst time, well, that’s just piling on.Still, although the numbers say Belichick’s strategy to kick would have been ill-considered even if Slater hadn’t misspoken, it wasn’t as big a mistake as it might have seemed.For one thing, getting the ball first in OT doesn’t give the receiving team a huge advantage. Since the NFL adopted its current regular-season overtime rules in 2012, teams that win the toss and receive the ball first have gone on to win only 51.5 percent of the time. That’s a bit lower than ESPN’s modeled probability of 53.8 percent, but a drive-based model also suggests that getting the ball first is not of earth-shattering importance. Since 2012, teams receiving the ball to start OT have scored an opening-drive touchdown (thereby winning the game while denying the opponent a possession) about 16 percent of the time. They’ve also failed to score at all 64 percent of the time — and those failed drives can have a big effect on the outcome of the next drive.Conditional on how its opponent’s previous drive ends, the average team kicking at the start of OT can have a pretty good opportunity to quickly counter-attack and end the game. Although a team that allows an opening touchdown by definition loses 100 percent of the time, and a team that allows an opening field goal loses 69 percent of the time, the kicking team scores a game-winning touchdown or field goal on 49 percent of drives that follow a zero-point opponent possession to begin overtime. (One big reason? Such drives start roughly 11 yards closer to the opponent’s goal line than drives after an opponent field goal.) If the kicking team can force a stop on the first drive of OT, it briefly finds itself very well-positioned to win the game. BASED ON DATA FROM PRO-FOOTBALL-REFERENCE.COM 2nd exchange25474113 Estimated probability of winning overtime, 2012–15 1st exchange6730%31%39% FIRST TEAM TO … 3rd exchange752444 After the first “exchange” of possessions,2For our purposes, an exchange includes two teams alternating possessions, as well as cases in which the game ends before the second team’s possession because the original receiving team has a walk-off score. things start to go poorly for the team that kicked off at the beginning of OT. Because sudden-death rules take over, the team has to rely on joint probability — the odds of getting a stop and the odds of scoring — to win after any given pair of possessions. Its opponent, meanwhile, can strike first and end the game then and there. So to maximize its odds of winning, the original kicking team must capitalize on the brief window of opportunity it has at the end of overtime’s first exchange of possessions.Belichick must have believed his Patriots could do just that. You can kind of see the grumpy old wheels turning: His defense had allowed fewer points through the end of regulation than the league average, and the Jets have basically been an average offensive team this season, so a defensive stop may have seemed more likely than the baseline NFL rate of 64 percent. And despite the furious pass rush Tom Brady faced much of the day, New England probably would have had a better-than-average chance of answering a potential zero-point possession with a game-winning drive, particularly if the wind had been on the Pats’ side.In a sense, that’s all abstract odds-making. In reality, Belichick, Slater and the coaching staff botched the coin-toss decision, and the Jets orchestrated a brilliant series of big plays against the New England defense en route to the winning touchdown. Amid all that, the choice to kick is drowned out by all the other noise once overtime play starts.Read more: FiveThirtyEight’s NFL predictions
The No. 4-seeded Ohio State men’s tennis team has advanced to the NCAA Championship Tournament semifinals after defeating No. 5-seeded Baylor, 4-2, in the quarterfinals Saturday. The Buckeyes continue their run at the NCAA Championship against No. 1-seeded Virginia today. Virginia defeated the Buckeyes, 4-1, on Feb. 20. OSU seniors Balazs Novak and Shuhei Uzawa listed the Cavaliers as one of the toughest opponents the team could face in this tournament. “We’re really excited to play them,” redshirt sophomore Devin McCarthy said. “We lost to them at National Indoors (Feb. 20) and thought it was close enough that we could win.” The match against Baylor was the first in the tournament that the Buckeyes didn’t win, 4-0. It was also the team’s first match against a seeded opponent. OSU had to fight hard for the doubles point but was eventually able to secure it, allowing the team to lead, 1-0, in the beginning of the match. The Buckeyes started down by one match in doubles action when Baylor sophomore Roberto Maytin and senior John Peers defeated senior Matt Allare and redshirt freshman Peter Kobelt, 8-3. After the initial loss, OSU doubles pairs, Novak and freshman Blaz Rola, and junior Chase Buchanan and Uzawa, were able to secure the doubles point for the Buckeyes. Uzawa and Buchanan rebounded from a 5-4 deficit in the match against Baylor seniors Sergio Ramirez and Jordan Rux to win their match, 8-6. Novak and Rola also contributed to the doubles point by beating Baylor juniors Julien Bley and Kike Grangeiro, 8-3. McCarthy said the team needs to keep working on the doubles point to continue to be successful. “Everyone has their own individual things they need to work on,” he said. “But the doubles point is really big.” The two teams moved onto singles action where OSU only surrendered two points and picked up three more to give the team the win. Rux was able to defeat OSU freshman Ille Van Engelen, 7-5, 6-1, and Maytin defeated Allare, 3-6, 6-1, 6-4, for Baylor’s only two points of the match. Buchanan, Rola and Novak provided the last three points OSU needed to win the match and advance to the next round. Buchanan finished with a 6-2, 6-2 victory against Ramirez, and then Novak defeated Bley, 7-6, 6-3. Rola took the remaining singles point, defeating Peers, 4-6, 7-6, 6-3. The winner between OSU and Virginia will face the winner of the match between Georgia and Southern California on Tuesday.
Senior goalkeeper Sean Romeo (30) makes a save during the first period of Ohio State’s game against UMass on Oct. 19. Ohio State lost 6-3. Credit: Nick Hudak | For The LanternOhio State redshirt senior Sean Romeo became the first goaltender in school history to record a three-game shutout streak, saving 32 shots in the No. 6 Buckeyes’ (7-3-1, 2-1-0-0 Big Ten) 4-0 win against Wisconsin (5-6-0, 1-2-0-0 Big Ten). The Buckeyes have allowed two goals in their past five games and now have three straight shutouts and lead the NCAA in shutouts with five this season.“I feel good,” Romeo said. “I try not to think about the three in a row, just take it one game at a time. It just goes to show how great our defense is playing in front of us, though. I think we took a big stride tonight, but we still have room to improve.”For Ohio State’s Steve Rohlik, Friday’s win meant a bit more, earning his 100th career win as the head coach of the Buckeyes. “The biggest thing for that is just I’ve been really fortunate to have a lot of great people around me. I think that’s what means the most to me,” Rohlik said. “This isn’t ever a one-guy show. All the players that have been here, the alumni, and obviously the staff that I’ve been fortunate enough to be around, that means the most to me.”Junior forward Tanner Laczynski opened the scoring with a power play goal with under two minutes remaining in the first period. The goal was followed up just over a minute later by another by senior forward Brendon Kearney, his first goal of the season, to give Ohio State the early 2-0 lead.The game was a physical affair that resulted in 12 penalties and 32 penalty minutes. Players were constantly hitting the ice and being slammed into the glass, with Ohio State senior forward Dakota Joshua receiving the brunt of the action when he went sailing over the barrier into Wisconsin’s bench. While a physical game can be exhilarating, Kearney knows that the Buckeyes need to be careful in chippy games like this one.“I mean, yeah, but there’s obviously that line, you know,” Kearney said. “You’ve got to keep that always in the back of your head. Physical games are great and all but at the same time you don’t want to put your team at a disadvantage.” Ohio State was perfect on the penalty kill against the Badgers, improving its season penalty kill percentage to .826. The Buckeyes haven’t allowed a power play goal since they played Bowling Green back on Oct. 27, a series that seemingly has become a turning point in their season.Senior forward Mason Jobst added an additional power play goal early in the second period for his team-leading sixth goal and ninth point of the season. Kearney scored another goal with less than 10 minutes remaining in the game for his second of the night and second this season.Eight Buckeyes scored a point in Friday night’s game, a season high for Ohio State.Ohio State will look for the sweep at the Schottenstein Center with a 5:00 p.m. puck drop on Saturday.
Ohio State freshman right fielder Dominic Canzone bats in the bottom of the seventh inning against North Carolina Greensboro. Credit: Edward Sutelan | Lantern reporterIt is rare that a team’s quality control coordinator would receive the game ball after a big win, but that is exactly what happened in Ohio State’s 6-4 win against Hawaii Thursday.Junior pitcher Andrew Magno was on the mound for the save, but it was a save that came in the most bizarre way. Trailing 6-3 in the ninth, a two-out single brought home two runners for the Rainbow Warriors. It appeared the Ohio State lead would be reduced to one run with a runner on first, but the game was called after the runner from second missed the bag rounding third. Magno credited Kirby Pellant, the quality control coordinator, for pointing out the error. “Kirby had the call on that, so I gave him the game ball after the game,” Magno said. “Good eyes on Pellant.” Ohio State (11-10) defeated Hawaii (9-12) 6-4 Thursday. Powered by big-time pitching from freshman pitcher Garrett Burhenn and Magno, Ohio State was able to keep Hawaii at bay long enough to produce insurance runs late in the game. Burhenn allowed two runs in an inefficient first inning, but settled down to pitch seven innings to move to 4-1 on the season. “He was definitely able to settle down a little bit and pitch to the bottom of the zone and get his pitches working,” sophomore catcher Dillon Dingler said. Magno was asked to come in the eighth inning, as Ohio State clung to a one-run lead. With two runners on and no outs the lefty was able to produce three-straight outs to maintain the lead.The pressure is not something that Magno shies away from. “I love it. It’s really fun,” Magno said. “I think the first one I had against Florida Gulf Coast just set the precedent for the rest of them.”Magno earned a one-inning save in a 2-0 victory over Florida Gulf Coast back on Feb. 18. Dingler made his first start since injuring his hamate bone on Feb. 20. Dingler produced two hits, an RBI and a steal in the win. “[His] presence and production were huge for us,” head coach Greg Beals said. “It’s awfully nice to write Dingler’s name in the lineup.” Down 2-0 after one inning, Ohio State redshirt junior second baseman Matt Carpenter drove in the first run of the game with a triple.On the next at bat, senior left fielder Brady Cherry recorded his team-high 18th RBI of the season with a double off the wall to tie the game 2-2. With runners on the corners and one out, Dingler poked a sacrifice fly ball out to right field to give the Buckeyes a 3-2 lead after one inning. Ohio State freshman third baseman Nick Erwin was able to record the first hit of his career with a two-out RBI single to make the score 4-3 in favor of Ohio State in the fourth inning. Hawaii sophomore pitcher Jeremy Wu-Yelland would finish the game with four runs allowed in four innings.Ohio State’s pitching continued its success in the sixth inning, but with the help of the defense.. A diving play by junior first baseman Conner Pohl to record the first out was topped the very next play by a spectacular backhanded play and throw from Erwin at third. The offense backed up Ohio State’s pitching, as redshirt sophomore designated hitter Brent Todys was able to drive insurance run, with a triple that landed on the third-base line in right field. The Buckeyes continued to do damage with two outs, as freshman center fielder Nolan Clegg made the score 6-3 after a single to right field. “You can’t put a value on two-out hits,” Beals said. “They either mark the scoreboard, or you go out to play defense without any runs.”Ohio State will return to the field at 5:05 p.m. Friday for the second game against Hawaii.
On the eve of Paris Saint-Germain’s trip to the Stadio San Paolo, Thomas Tuchel has gone public to praise his team performance against LilleThe Parisians have recorded their 12th successive Ligue 1 triumph, setting a new record in top five European leagues. Led by the likes of Neymar and Kylian Mbappe, the reigning French champions seem virtually unstoppable in the national championship.However, things are not going as smooth as expected in the Champions League. Apart from a devastating 6-1 win over Red Star Belgrade, PSG have lost to Liverpool and barely secured a 2-2 draw with Napoli at Parc des Princes.In a post-match interview on Friday night, Tuchel has hailed his players, labeling a 2-1 victory over Lille a ‘best performance of his team this season,’ which has been broadcasted by the Sport 360.“I think it was our best match this season,” former Borussia Dortmund coach said.Serie A Betting: Match-day 3 Stuart Heath – September 14, 2019 Considering there is a number of perfect starts so early in the Serie A season, as well as a few surprisingly not-so perfect ones….“It was necessary against this opponent, and it will also be necessary on Tuesday night. Napoli have a different style, and it will be a big challenge.“The team is confident after this game. It was necessary to play with a lot of quality, and we did.“It was a wonderful performance. There was a lot of structure, possession of the ball, we closed the spaces. We were very serious, very disciplined, and we have to congratulate my team.”Paris Saint-Germain will take Napoli on Tuesday, as Tuchel hopes to see his side achieving the first road points in Europe this season.
The Bayern Munich goalkeeper has examined his team’s loss against Borussia Dortmund in Der Klassiker this past weekendBayern Munich lost 3-2 against Borussia Dortmund in Der Klassiker this past weekend in the German Bundesliga.And for goalkeeper Manuel Neuer the result was disappointing, to say the least.“For us, it’s obviously disappointing. We put a lot into it. We did well in the first half but Dortmund were able to get to grips with our game after the break,” he told the Bundesliga website.“What makes them stand out is not something we’re only finding out about this season, but it’s something we know about them from previous years.”Merson believes Arsenal should sign Sancho Manuel R. Medina – September 14, 2019 Borussia Dortmund winger Jadon Sancho might be the perfect player to play for the Gunners, according to former England international Paul Merson.“They create danger with a lot of pace and break with four or five players really quickly. And that is exactly what they demonstrated against us again this time. As a result, they caught us out, you have to admit,” he added.“We can all see the table but we can’t look at it now. We know that we’re playing catch up.”“We just have to win our games now. We’ve been under pressure in the past and now we’re under pressure again,” he explained.“So as I said, we have to win our games – and keep going like that until at least the winter break.”
The Italian striker missed two opportunities to score in the match against Portugal; he hasn’t scored for the Azzurri in eight gamesLazio and Italy national team forward Ciro Immobile is getting worried about his lack of scoring.The striker has not been able to score a goal for the Azzurri in eight consecutive matches.“It was a good team performance and the lack of goals is starting to weigh on me, but I am trying to look forward,” he told Sky Sports Italia as quoted by Football Italia.Serie A Betting: Match-day 3 Stuart Heath – September 14, 2019 Considering there is a number of perfect starts so early in the Serie A season, as well as a few surprisingly not-so perfect ones….“We have to take the criticism along with the praise. The team is playing good football and to be honest I was more worried when we struggled to create chances. If we keep going like this, next time will be better.”“The last few games have been played at a high quality and the scoring opportunities are being created, it’s now an issue of converting them into goals,” he added.“I know what I can do, I prove it with Lazio and I have to prove it with Italy too. I am fired up, next time will be better.”“The team is there, the performances are strong, we now need the results and to fine-tune some of these elements,” he concluded.
Recommended for you Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp Electricity Cost of Service Study among the big agenda items at September 11 Cabinet meeting ALERT # 2 ON POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY THURSDAY 12TH SEPTEMBER, 2019 AT 9 PM EDT Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppProvidenciales, TCI, February 9, 2017 – A police raid of a home in Five Cays last October netted an illegal gun and ammunition and on Tuesday, the man arrested for the weapon entered a guilty plea and got two five year sentences, which will run concurrently. Bernard Colebrooke did not fight the charges linked to a silver and black P-380 Caliber gun and one magazine clip with three live rounds of ammunition which were found under his mattress on October 19, 2016. #MagneticMediaNews Related Items:#magneticmedianews The Luxury of Grace Bay in Down Town Provo